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FIRE & Retirement Planning

Financial independence is mostly arithmetic: how much you need, how fast you get there, and how safely you can spend it. These tools focus on the variables you can actually control.

Choose the right calculator
A practical sequence
  1. Know your real annual spending (after-tax). Use Budget Planner + True Hourly Wage if needed.
  2. Compute your FIRE number: annual spend ÷ 0.04 (or your chosen safe rate). Start with FIRE Number.
  3. Model sequence risk and success rate over your horizon with Safe Withdrawal Rate (Monte Carlo).
  4. Project current accounts forward: 401k Growth, Compound Interest, Time to $1M.
  5. Optimize the vehicle: Roth vs Traditional, HSA vs taxable brokerage.
  6. Protect the plan: size an Emergency Fund and understand inflation drag.
Notes on the 4% rule and Monte Carlo

The classic 4% rule comes from historical US data (Trinity study era). Monte Carlo tools here show a distribution of outcomes under assumed mean return and volatility. A 95% “success” in simulation does not guarantee safety; it means the portfolio survived the modeled paths. Sequence of returns in the first 5–10 years matters more than average return over the whole period.

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